Probabilistic exposure assessment

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What it's about

Exposure assessment can help to determine the type, nature, frequency and intensity of contacts between the population and the contaminant that is to be assessed. There are various approaches for estimating exposure.

Background

Advantages of probabilistic methods

Advantages of probabilistic methods for risk assessment:

  • Probabilistic methods offer the possibility of obtaining realistic exposure assessments, encouraging more effective risk management and contributing to more transparent risk communication.
  • More information can be obtained by separating variability from uncertainty.
  • The possibilities of estimating the success of intervention measures when simulating the entire product chain according to the "farm-to-fork" principle are improved.
  • Probabilistic methods provide insight into the overall picture of risks in the population and not just of extreme cases.
  • The use of statistical methods instead of subjective expert judgements leads to greater transparency and credibility of the estimates.

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